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Security Commentaries #012
April 18th, 2021


Asia Pacific

The New "Four Pillars" and the Desire for National Prosperity: This time, the party leadership team will propel Vietnam towards a more prominent role and position within the regional geopolitical fabric.

Around the World

The Iran Deal and Is It Salvageable?: Iran and the P5+1 countries meet in Vienna to restore the 2015 Iran Nuclear Deal. The initial sessions of the talks were promising for both sides at the table.

Russia & Ukraine Border Tensions – Towards New War?:  Over the past two weeks relations between Russia and Ukraine have severely deteriorated.

The New "Four Pillars" and the Desire for National Prosperity

- Thuong Nguyen,  Taiwan Center for Security Studies

Vietnam's political system has recently undergone a major reshuffle across the board, including the party apparatus, the National Assembly, and the government. The Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV) elected a new 200-member Central Committee, which then appointed an 18-member Politburo, and a five-member Secretariat. After the 11th Session of the National Assembly ended on April 8, a new Vietnamese leadership team was strengthened to complete the leadership transition process and shape Vietnam's political and economic development policies and direction during the new term ... Read More. 

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The Iran Deal and Is It Salvageable?

- Harun Talha Ayanoglu and Richard Chen, Taiwan Center for Security Studies

It took the Biden administration more than three months to make headway in restarting negotiations. While at this point, Tehran and Washington have neither been conducting direct talks, the shuttle diplomacy that is being conducted through seems up to now, still panning out. Sources coming out of the Joint Commission meeting reflected a “constructive atmosphere” and the path to maintain “positive momentum”. 

The main concern however, is the gap of understanding between the degree to which sanctions towards Iran will be lifted. As the US has in the years of Donald J. Trump enmeshed a web of sanctions that were both part of the original nuclear deal as well as those that were justified by the US pulling out.... Read More.

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Russia & Ukraine Border Tensions – Towards New War?

-  Evgenii Iastrubinskii, Taiwan Center for Security Studies

This whole situation is exacerbated by three additional factors related to NATO. First, as we already know, the US and their NATO allies are planning to conduct military exercises near the borders of Russia. Secondly, according to information from the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, partly the games will be held on the territory of Ukraine, under the name Cossack Mace 2021.  Ukraine is not an alliance member of NATO, and therefore NATO’s presence on the territory of Ukraine is considered by the Kremlin as a “red line” crossing which could result in a conflict. Thirdly, recently in negotiations with the head of NATO, Jens Stoltenberg, the Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy urged NATO to hasten membership of Ukraine into the organization, under the pretext that this is the only way to end the war in Donbass once and for all and return Crimea to Ukraine...Read More.

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Editor’s Picks - Hot Off the Press


The trend continues with the largest incursion of PLA fighter jets the island has seen… Read more

Ant Group to become a financial holding group under a crackdown from top regulators in China… Read more

US delegation visited Taiwan, including key persons in Biden’s inner circle and past-State Dept. officials… Read more

Biden-Suga meeting reaffirms US-Japan commitment to “peace and stability” in the Taiwan Strait… Read more

Ousted lawmakers announce “unity government” for Myanmar in defiance of the military junta… Read more

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Volcanic Relief Drive
Please support the drive by the Vincentian community in Taiwan to raise funds which would be sent to the National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) in St. Vincent and the Grenadines for the purchase and acquisition of specifically required relief supplies for displaced persons and those in sure need. For more information click here. 
What is Happening at TCSS - Last Week

On Thursday, TCSS in conjunction with experts from Europe to Asia participated in a webinar discussion titled:

Perspectives from Asia and Europe: International Roundtable on the Escalating Crisis in Myanmar—“Surviving and Thriving: Myanmar’s Coup and Security Instability in Asia”

The timely discussion highlighted the dire situation on the ground, stories from the frontlines and what has been done by international actors so far. Particularly it focused  how the developments and attitudes now seem to only be contributing only to the impasse rather than de-escalating tensions. Calls for a reorientation of methodology in facing and confronting these challenges were raised throughout the webinar.

Thank you for subscribing to the TCSS Security Commentaries email newsletter, a weekly publication aimed at providing independent and transparent analysis on key events around the world regarding international security and developments in the Asia-Pacific region. 

Copyright 2021 - Taiwan Center for Security Studies 

All views and articles in this periodical do not necessarily represent the views of either TCSS or the editors.

Editors : Richard Chen & Jaime Ocon
Image Sources: Getty Images
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