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Hi there,
I wish you an explosive 4th of July! I don't know about you, but I'm looking forward to blowing some stuff up!

In the news headlines today, I saw Dr. Fauci mention the possibility for 100,000 daily cases of coronavirus and a new swine flu in China. For the latter, there has been no human transmission, but the media made sure to note it meets all the possible criteria for a pandemic candidate.

Then, I stumbled across this quote from Factfulness: Ten Reasons We're Wrong About the World--and Why Things Are Better:

"But the future is always uncertain to some degree. And whenever we talk about the future we should be open and clear about the level of uncertainty involved. We should not pick the most dramatic estimates and show a worst-case scenario as if it were certain. People would find out! ... This protects our reputations and means we never give people a reason to stop listening."

If only our leaders or media had taken a more realistic approach in the beginning. All trust has left the building.

Fortunately, Factfulness has some positives for us:
  • Over the past twenty years, the proportion of the global population living in extreme poverty has halved.
  • The image of a dangerous world has never been broadcast more effectively than it is now, while the world has never been less violent and more safe.
  • Deaths per capita is even more amazing. It has fallen to just 6 percent of what it was 100 years ago.
And, as I'd previously mentioned, don't always trust the experts:

In 1968, Stanford biologist Paul R. Ehrlich wrote about the imminent worldwide famine, even making a decade long bet in 1980 after doubling down with a second book. Oops.

Amazingly, these types of expert predictions are fairly common. Short-term, long-term, and especially in their areas of expertise! A series of studies indicated the expertly declared impossible or near-impossible events still had a 15% occurrence while 25% of the time their sure thing failed to materialize.

 
Courage Improves Productivity

Taylor Pearson shared several ways to improve productivity, but his last idea struck home.

You need courage.

Yes, you need to be willing to step into the arena. You need "the courage to skate to where the puck is going when everyone else is skating to where the puck is. And, the courage to get hit."

But more frequently overlooked:

I believe one of the main reasons we work too hard is that we are using that hard work to make up for a lack of courage.

He provides an anecdote of spending months swooning over a girl instead of the two minutes to walk up and ask her out. Or working harder to cover for a team member who should be fired.

Or this:

Maybe, for you, courage is choosing to work less because we are confident in our own productivity time. Even if that means having a 5-hour work day or 20 hour work week.

If the shoe fits... I find myself obligated to put in MORE hours working from home out of guilt rather than progress.

 
GRVAT Update

I'm running virtually across Tennessee in the Great Virtual Race Across Tennessee 1000k (GRVAT). 634 miles (5 miles/day) between May 1 until August 31st.

A lunchtime walk was rewarded with a wild otter sighting!! It looks like a gator in the picture but was way faster as it rapidly zig-zagged back-and-forth across the retention pond.

Otter zipping by!

Wed: 0 (I saw the lightning, and the lightning won)
Thur: 11.34 (a walk and a run)
Fri: 0
Sat: 0 (picked up and put down 40 bags of mulch)
Sun: 10.76 (not recovered from the day before...) 
Mon: 7.36 (two walks)
Tues: 0

Total Miles this Week: 29.46 miles (meanwhile, my brother just did 27 miles in the last 24 hours)
Cumulative Miles: 303.7 miles
Beat the Buzzard: -9.8 miles

 
Quote of the Week

Needless commitments are more wasteful than needless possessions. Possessions can be ignored, but commitments are a recurring debt that must be paid for with your time and attention.” 

- James Clear
Until next week, stay safe, sane, and intentional.

Scott
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